Hi All,
As you’ve probably seen on twitter, I’ve gotten into Daily Fantasy
sports recently and I’m doing pretty well. The biggest fantasy sport by
far is Football, and the season starts in just over a week. There’s
absolutely a boat load of money to be made on sites like DraftKings and
Fanduel for anyone who is smart and knows a little about football.
Below is an article from my website,
http://dailyfantasywinners.com.
If you’re new to daily fantasy, this article should help you understand
the elements that go into creating a lineup. If you end up signing up
for DraftKings or Fanduel after reading this article, please sign up
using the banners on
http://dailyfantasywinners.com or by using this link
http://partners.draftkings.com/aff_c?offer_id=489&aff_id=29984. You can also use the promo code ‘DFW’ on Fanduel for a 100% deposit bonus up to $200.
And if you want to learn more, feel free to tweet me or DM me, I’m always happy to help.
Creating a Lineup on DraftKings
Discovering Daily Fantasy Sports like DraftKings is, well, exciting.
You can see by their promotions that the money to be won this year
playing is absolutely massive, and as someone who already loves fantasy,
this seems right up your alley. However, once you enter a tournament
and start the process of making a lineup, you may find that you don’t
really know where to start. Unlike season-long fantasy, you can play
whoever you want every week, which means the lineup combinations are
endless. But by understanding a few simple concepts, making a lineup can
actually be very simple, easy and fun.
The goal of this article is to show you how to make a lineup by
letting you see a real DraftKings NFL lineup that I will use in week 1. I
will explain the key concepts and reasoning that go into each pick.
After reading this article, you should be ready to make your own lineup
and already have a big edge on other players who may be playing on
DraftKings for the first time.
DraftKings: Salary and Salary Cap
On almost every Daily Fantasy website, each player is assigned a
salary and the website gives you a specific payroll that the total
salary of all your players must fit under. On DraftKings, salaries can
range from anywhere to $3000 (i.e. Tedd Ginn Jr.) to $10,000 or
sometimes higher (i.e. Peyton Manning). Salaries vary from week to week,
based on an algorithm DraftKings has created in order to price players
fairly. However, their algorithm isn’t perfect. Some players will be
drastically mispriced due to injury, matchup, or other factors. Our goal
in creating a lineup is to find the best value out of all the players
in the NFL and balance that with players we think will be the top
performers of the week.
The Lineup:
QB Colin Kaepernick ($8000) – This is a play based on
Matchup,
Value, and
Vegas.
Matchup
Kaepernick is going against a defense that was absolutely atrocious last
year in the Cowboys, and they almost certainly have gotten worse with
the losses of Demarcus Ware and Jason Hatcher in the off-season.
Targeting star players who are facing bad defenses is essential in
creating a top team.
Vegas
Sportsbooks (I use thegreek.com for lines) are projecting that the 49ers
score 28 points against the Cowboys, one of the higher point projection
totals you will see throughout the year. Sportsbook over/under lines
and spreads are a big part of predicting big fantasy performances.
Handicappers are very good at their jobs, so the lines in general are
going to be very predictive of the actual outcomes of games. We want to
use this to our advantage, so when the Sportsbooks say that the 49ers
are going to have a great game, we believe them (Read more on why Vegas
sports betting lines are so good here:
http://dailyfantasywinners.com/vegas-trust/).
Kaepernick is a massive part of the 49ers offense, so a good team
performance almost certainly means a good performance from Kaep.
Value
Kaepernick is a high potential fantasy player for his ability to both
run and pass. I expect him to be one of the highest scoring players week
1, and in order to win a big tournament like DraftKings Sunday Million,
you will absolutely need to have the top scoring players of the week on
your team. You save a couple thousand by using Kaepernick over Peyton
Manning or Drew Brees, but he has as much potential as either of them.
Arian Foster ($7,200) – This pick is mostly due to an
expected improvement
this season, and matchup. There are many reasons a player’s salary may
be lower than it should be. Foster had an injury-riddled, sub-par,
season last year and consequently his price is significantly depressed
week 1. But now he’s healthy and his backup Ben Tate is starting in
Cleveland. This means Foster should get the majority of carries against
the Redskins.
While the Redskins have made some improvements to their defense, they
still will be a mediocre to poor defense this season. Vegas has the
Texans scoring over 24 points week 1, and like Kaepernick, Foster should
play a major role in the Texans offense. This is a great matchup for
Foster.
Want to see the reasoning for the rest of my picks? Read more by going to http://dailyfantasywinners.com/create-nfl-lineup-draftkings/
